Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.518975 0.604210 0.698665 0.811051 0.941092 1.086802 1.262442
2025-02-16 0.379218 0.493148 0.633452 0.818724 1.056781 1.352259 1.746845
2025-02-23 0.301407 0.424097 0.586950 0.818471 1.138780 1.565986 2.178946
2025-03-02 0.247551 0.371531 0.546486 0.810643 1.198734 1.747396 2.581681
2025-03-09 0.210343 0.333870 0.517685 0.810051 1.262441 1.934891 3.009708
2025-03-16 0.175201 0.292541 0.475721 0.781082 1.276141 2.045900 3.332527
2025-03-23 0.163884 0.286344 0.485884 0.832756 1.418983 2.367726 4.017776
2025-03-30 0.140804 0.256862 0.453820 0.810093 1.436369 2.489003 4.389677
2025-04-06 0.121084 0.230051 0.422194 0.782992 1.441079 2.587078 4.730221
2025-04-13 0.104988 0.207302 0.394368 0.758265 1.445535 2.682984 5.074835
2025-04-20 0.095607 0.195716 0.385069 0.765786 1.508602 2.888352 5.638555
2025-04-27 0.091698 0.194167 0.394229 0.809089 1.643467 3.238890 6.511340
2025-05-04 0.085336 0.187069 0.392251 0.831386 1.742410 3.536712 7.326106
2025-05-11 0.078315 0.177656 0.384544 0.841333 1.818360 3.799464 8.105050
2025-05-18 0.071240 0.167051 0.372867 0.841164 1.872740 4.023891 8.829824
2025-05-25 0.064373 0.155891 0.358492 0.833126 1.908929 4.213974 9.502976
2025-06-01 0.058884 0.147099 0.348134 0.832519 1.960961 4.442584 10.284397
2025-06-08 0.052007 0.133995 0.326303 0.802762 1.943341 4.517166 10.731426
2025-06-15 0.051202 0.135674 0.339053 0.855841 2.123796 5.052541 12.287396
2025-06-22 0.045853 0.125100 0.321150 0.832562 2.119784 5.165722 12.870474
2025-06-29 0.040862 0.114727 0.302399 0.804725 2.101106 5.242098 13.373526
2025-07-06 0.036554 0.105549 0.285475 0.779324 2.085306 5.323258 13.896890
2025-07-13 0.034250 0.101554 0.281444 0.787050 2.155244 5.621828 14.997834